Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 46.933397 54.177175 61.654650 69.913258 78.743774 87.870584 97.984759
2026-02-08 35.681446 45.859070 56.935323 69.728843 83.955216 99.162657 116.526195
2026-02-15 28.571404 40.126997 53.240419 68.895475 86.784612 106.337753 129.089057
2026-02-22 24.206188 36.828761 51.684538 69.907840 91.182534 114.831885 142.734883
2026-03-01 20.946172 34.373367 50.711789 71.233324 95.625427 123.115656 155.911810
2026-03-08 17.251701 30.898500 48.134386 70.334685 97.213769 127.926641 164.967730
2026-03-15 13.900872 27.446546 45.252139 68.781034 97.789708 131.375117 172.295453
2026-03-22 12.813275 26.983023 46.090794 71.739108 103.703304 140.995327 186.698134
2026-03-29 11.371667 25.824549 45.888958 73.288691 107.832770 148.462518 198.560835
2026-04-05 9.415058 23.635444 44.126163 72.705285 109.238028 152.617728 206.487143
2026-04-12 7.741347 21.652686 42.484845 72.151123 110.579232 156.619629 214.170111
2026-04-19 6.572486 20.339013 41.677905 72.612112 113.127985 162.027451 223.478505
2026-04-26 5.259370 18.570151 40.107660 71.997209 114.301833 165.788687 230.880712
2026-05-03 4.249701 17.179417 38.991670 71.925251 116.120290 170.307102 239.173223
2026-05-10 3.240021 15.548845 37.371844 71.056636 116.834831 173.413377 245.724252
2026-05-17 2.706852 14.837543 37.137885 72.090066 119.998922 179.527701 255.892314
2026-05-24 2.290938 14.304792 37.145693 73.437255 123.556457 186.120539 266.636014
2026-05-31 1.633395 12.921754 35.635362 72.523574 124.069407 188.877050 272.690514
2026-06-07 1.039020 11.394328 33.735710 70.943462 123.622297 190.377216 277.170774
2026-06-14 0.978106 11.614462 34.923310 73.951649 129.360394 199.689418 291.230663
2026-06-21 0.798924 11.324902 35.164942 75.527107 133.151835 206.536003 302.266451
2026-06-28 0.496242 10.313362 34.003752 74.933988 133.961598 209.575980 308.604032
2026-07-05 0.275283 9.379443 32.898700 74.370568 134.773831 212.592901 314.893933